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Navigating the Perfect Storm

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Navigating the Perfect Storm : research strategies for socialecological systems in a rapidly evolving world. / Dearing, John A.; Bullock, Seth; Costanza, Robert; Dawson, Terry P.; Edwards, Mary E.; Poppy, Guy M.; Smith, Graham M.

In: Environmental Management, 01.01.2012, p. 767-775.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Harvard

Dearing, JA, Bullock, S, Costanza, R, Dawson, TP, Edwards, ME, Poppy, GM & Smith, GM 2012, 'Navigating the Perfect Storm: research strategies for socialecological systems in a rapidly evolving world' Environmental Management, pp. 767-775.

APA

Dearing, J. A., Bullock, S., Costanza, R., Dawson, T. P., Edwards, M. E., Poppy, G. M., & Smith, G. M. (2012). Navigating the Perfect Storm: research strategies for socialecological systems in a rapidly evolving world. Environmental Management, 767-775doi: 10.1007/s00267-012-9833-6

Vancouver

Dearing JA, Bullock S, Costanza R, Dawson TP, Edwards ME, Poppy GM et al. Navigating the Perfect Storm: research strategies for socialecological systems in a rapidly evolving world. Environmental Management. 2012 Jan 1;767-775.

Author

Dearing, John A.; Bullock, Seth; Costanza, Robert; Dawson, Terry P.; Edwards, Mary E.; Poppy, Guy M.; Smith, Graham M. / Navigating the Perfect Storm : research strategies for socialecological systems in a rapidly evolving world.

In: Environmental Management, 01.01.2012, p. 767-775.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Bibtex - Download

@article{9f7b450e510f4585891104fe7ff4e105,
title = "Navigating the Perfect Storm",
author = "Dearing, {John A.} and Seth Bullock and Robert Costanza and Dawson, {Terry P.} and Edwards, {Mary E.} and Poppy, {Guy M.} and Smith, {Graham M.}",
year = "2012",
pages = "767--775",
journal = "Environmental Management",
issn = "0364-152X",

}

RIS (suitable for import to EndNote) - Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Navigating the Perfect Storm

T2 - research strategies for socialecological systems in a rapidly evolving world

A1 - Dearing,John A.

A1 - Bullock,Seth

A1 - Costanza,Robert

A1 - Dawson,Terry P.

A1 - Edwards,Mary E.

A1 - Poppy,Guy M.

A1 - Smith,Graham M.

AU - Dearing,John A.

AU - Bullock,Seth

AU - Costanza,Robert

AU - Dawson,Terry P.

AU - Edwards,Mary E.

AU - Poppy,Guy M.

AU - Smith,Graham M.

PY - 2012/1/1

Y1 - 2012/1/1

N2 - The 'Perfect Storm' metaphor describes a combination of events that causes a surprising or dramatic impact. It lends an evolutionary perspective to how social-ecological interactions change. Thus, we argue that an improved understanding of how social-ecological systems have evolved up to the present is necessary for the modelling, understanding and anticipation of current and future social-ecological systems. Here we consider the implications of an evolutionary perspective for designing research approaches. One desirable approach is the creation of multi-decadal records produced by integrating palaeoenvironmental, instrument and documentary sources at multiple spatial scales. We also consider the potential for improved analytical and modelling approaches by developing system dynamical, cellular and agent-based models, observing complex behaviour in social-ecological systems against which to test systems dynamical theory, and drawing better lessons from history. Alongside these is the need to find more appropriate ways to communicate complex systems, risk and uncertainty to the public and to policy-makers. © 2012 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC.

AB - The 'Perfect Storm' metaphor describes a combination of events that causes a surprising or dramatic impact. It lends an evolutionary perspective to how social-ecological interactions change. Thus, we argue that an improved understanding of how social-ecological systems have evolved up to the present is necessary for the modelling, understanding and anticipation of current and future social-ecological systems. Here we consider the implications of an evolutionary perspective for designing research approaches. One desirable approach is the creation of multi-decadal records produced by integrating palaeoenvironmental, instrument and documentary sources at multiple spatial scales. We also consider the potential for improved analytical and modelling approaches by developing system dynamical, cellular and agent-based models, observing complex behaviour in social-ecological systems against which to test systems dynamical theory, and drawing better lessons from history. Alongside these is the need to find more appropriate ways to communicate complex systems, risk and uncertainty to the public and to policy-makers. © 2012 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?partnerID=yv4JPVwI&eid=2-s2.0-84857988583&md5=d2d678601366d7c593dc49fa9f160475

U2 - 10.1007/s00267-012-9833-6

DO - 10.1007/s00267-012-9833-6

M1 - Article

JO - Environmental Management

JF - Environmental Management

SN - 0364-152X

SP - 767

EP - 775

ER -

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