Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy

W. Neil Adger, Iain Brown, Swenja Surminski

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    7 Citations (Scopus)
    124 Downloads (Pure)

    Abstract

    Climate change risk assessment involves formal analysis of the consequences, likelihoods and responses to the impacts of climate change and the options for addressing these under societal constraints. Conventional approaches to risk assessment are challenged by the significant temporal and spatial dynamics of climate change; by the amplification of risks through societal preferences and values; and through the interaction of multiple risk factors. This paper introduces the theme issue by reviewing the current practice and frontiers of climate change risk assessment, with specific emphasis on the development of adaptation policy that aims to manage those risks. These frontiers include integrated assessments, dealing with climate risks across borders and scales, addressing systemic risks, and innovative co-production methods to prioritize solutions to climate challenges with decision-makers. By reviewing recent developments in the use of largescale risk assessment for adaptation policy-making, we suggest a forward-looking research agenda to meet ongoing strategic policy requirements in local, national and international contexts. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy’.
    Original languageEnglish
    Article number20180106
    Pages (from-to)1-13
    Number of pages13
    JournalPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A - Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences
    Volume376
    Issue number2121
    Early online date30 Apr 2018
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 13 Jun 2018

    Fingerprint

    risk assessment
    Climate Change
    climate change
    Risk Assessment
    Climate change
    Risk assessment
    reviewing
    Climate
    climate
    production engineering
    Formal Analysis
    Risk Factors
    borders
    Amplification
    Likelihood
    Policy
    requirements
    Requirements
    Interaction
    interactions

    Keywords

    • Adaptation
    • Climate change
    • Risk assessment
    • Science policy
    • Systemic risk

    Cite this

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    title = "Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy",
    abstract = "Climate change risk assessment involves formal analysis of the consequences, likelihoods and responses to the impacts of climate change and the options for addressing these under societal constraints. Conventional approaches to risk assessment are challenged by the significant temporal and spatial dynamics of climate change; by the amplification of risks through societal preferences and values; and through the interaction of multiple risk factors. This paper introduces the theme issue by reviewing the current practice and frontiers of climate change risk assessment, with specific emphasis on the development of adaptation policy that aims to manage those risks. These frontiers include integrated assessments, dealing with climate risks across borders and scales, addressing systemic risks, and innovative co-production methods to prioritize solutions to climate challenges with decision-makers. By reviewing recent developments in the use of largescale risk assessment for adaptation policy-making, we suggest a forward-looking research agenda to meet ongoing strategic policy requirements in local, national and international contexts. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy’.",
    keywords = "Adaptation, Climate change, Risk assessment, Science policy, Systemic risk",
    author = "Adger, {W. Neil} and Iain Brown and Swenja Surminski",
    note = "We declare we have no competing interests. Funding. The authors acknowledge support from the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs in the praeparation of the International Dimensions Assessment of the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment. W.N.A. acknowledges support from High-end Climate Impacts and Extremes project of the EU. S.S. would like to acknowledge the financial support of Ireland’s Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) under the EPA Research Programme 2014–2020, of the UK Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) through the Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, and of the Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment through the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.",
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    language = "English",
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    Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy. / Adger, W. Neil ; Brown, Iain; Surminski, Swenja .

    In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A - Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 376, No. 2121, 20180106, 13.06.2018, p. 1-13.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    TY - JOUR

    T1 - Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy

    AU - Adger, W. Neil

    AU - Brown, Iain

    AU - Surminski, Swenja

    N1 - We declare we have no competing interests. Funding. The authors acknowledge support from the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs in the praeparation of the International Dimensions Assessment of the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment. W.N.A. acknowledges support from High-end Climate Impacts and Extremes project of the EU. S.S. would like to acknowledge the financial support of Ireland’s Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) under the EPA Research Programme 2014–2020, of the UK Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) through the Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, and of the Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment through the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.

    PY - 2018/6/13

    Y1 - 2018/6/13

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    AB - Climate change risk assessment involves formal analysis of the consequences, likelihoods and responses to the impacts of climate change and the options for addressing these under societal constraints. Conventional approaches to risk assessment are challenged by the significant temporal and spatial dynamics of climate change; by the amplification of risks through societal preferences and values; and through the interaction of multiple risk factors. This paper introduces the theme issue by reviewing the current practice and frontiers of climate change risk assessment, with specific emphasis on the development of adaptation policy that aims to manage those risks. These frontiers include integrated assessments, dealing with climate risks across borders and scales, addressing systemic risks, and innovative co-production methods to prioritize solutions to climate challenges with decision-makers. By reviewing recent developments in the use of largescale risk assessment for adaptation policy-making, we suggest a forward-looking research agenda to meet ongoing strategic policy requirements in local, national and international contexts. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy’.

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