An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh

Robert J. Nicholls, Craig W. Hutton, Atilla N. Lazar, W. Neil Adger, Andrew Allan, Paul G. Whitehead, Judith Wolf, Munsur Rahman, Mashfiqus Salehin, Susan E. Hanson, Andres Payo

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter (peer-reviewed)

66 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Bangladesh is identified as an impact hotspot for sea-level rise in multiple studies. However, a range of other factors must be considered including catchment management, socio-economic development and governance quality, as well as delta plain biophysical processes. Taking an integrated assessment approach highlights that to 2050 future changes are more sensitive to human choice/policy intervention than climate change, ecosystem services diminish as a proportion of the economy with time, continuing historic trends and significant poverty persists for some households. Hence under favourable policy decisions, development could transform Bangladesh by 2050 making it less vulnerable to longer-term climate change and subsidence. Beyond 2050, the threats of climate change are much larger, requiring strategic adaptation responses and policy changes that must be initiated now.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationEcosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas
Subtitle of host publicationIntegrated Assessment for Policy Analysis
EditorsR.J. Nicholls, C. W. Hutton, W. N. Adger, S. E. Hanson, M. M. Rahman, M. Salehin
PublisherPalgrave Macmillan
Chapter3
Pages49-69
Number of pages21
ISBN (Electronic)9783319710938
ISBN (Print)9783319710921
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2018

Fingerprint

integrated approach
climate change
ecosystem service
poverty
economic development
subsidence
transform
catchment
policy

Cite this

Nicholls, R. J., Hutton, C. W., Lazar, A. N., Adger, W. N., Allan, A., Whitehead, P. G., ... Payo, A. (2018). An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh. In R. J. Nicholls, C. W. Hutton, W. N. Adger, S. E. Hanson, M. M. Rahman, & M. Salehin (Eds.), Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas: Integrated Assessment for Policy Analysis (pp. 49-69). Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71093-8_3
Nicholls, Robert J. ; Hutton, Craig W. ; Lazar, Atilla N. ; Adger, W. Neil ; Allan, Andrew ; Whitehead, Paul G. ; Wolf, Judith ; Rahman, Munsur ; Salehin, Mashfiqus ; Hanson, Susan E. ; Payo, Andres . / An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh. Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas: Integrated Assessment for Policy Analysis. editor / R.J. Nicholls ; C. W. Hutton ; W. N. Adger ; S. E. Hanson ; M. M. Rahman ; M. Salehin. Palgrave Macmillan, 2018. pp. 49-69
@inbook{c554b170103a4ebebf674368243e2d1f,
title = "An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh",
abstract = "Bangladesh is identified as an impact hotspot for sea-level rise in multiple studies. However, a range of other factors must be considered including catchment management, socio-economic development and governance quality, as well as delta plain biophysical processes. Taking an integrated assessment approach highlights that to 2050 future changes are more sensitive to human choice/policy intervention than climate change, ecosystem services diminish as a proportion of the economy with time, continuing historic trends and significant poverty persists for some households. Hence under favourable policy decisions, development could transform Bangladesh by 2050 making it less vulnerable to longer-term climate change and subsidence. Beyond 2050, the threats of climate change are much larger, requiring strategic adaptation responses and policy changes that must be initiated now.",
author = "Nicholls, {Robert J.} and Hutton, {Craig W.} and Lazar, {Atilla N.} and Adger, {W. Neil} and Andrew Allan and Whitehead, {Paul G.} and Judith Wolf and Munsur Rahman and Mashfiqus Salehin and Hanson, {Susan E.} and Andres Payo",
year = "2018",
month = "5",
doi = "10.1007/978-3-319-71093-8_3",
language = "English",
isbn = "9783319710921",
pages = "49--69",
editor = "Nicholls, {R.J. } and Hutton, {C. W. } and Adger, {W. N. } and Hanson, {S. E. } and Rahman, {M. M. } and Salehin, {M. }",
booktitle = "Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas",
publisher = "Palgrave Macmillan",

}

Nicholls, RJ, Hutton, CW, Lazar, AN, Adger, WN, Allan, A, Whitehead, PG, Wolf, J, Rahman, M, Salehin, M, Hanson, SE & Payo, A 2018, An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh. in RJ Nicholls, CW Hutton, WN Adger, SE Hanson, MM Rahman & M Salehin (eds), Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas: Integrated Assessment for Policy Analysis. Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 49-69. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71093-8_3

An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh. / Nicholls, Robert J.; Hutton, Craig W.; Lazar, Atilla N.; Adger, W. Neil ; Allan, Andrew; Whitehead, Paul G. ; Wolf, Judith; Rahman, Munsur; Salehin, Mashfiqus; Hanson, Susan E. ; Payo, Andres .

Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas: Integrated Assessment for Policy Analysis. ed. / R.J. Nicholls; C. W. Hutton; W. N. Adger; S. E. Hanson; M. M. Rahman; M. Salehin. Palgrave Macmillan, 2018. p. 49-69.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter (peer-reviewed)

TY - CHAP

T1 - An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh

AU - Nicholls, Robert J.

AU - Hutton, Craig W.

AU - Lazar, Atilla N.

AU - Adger, W. Neil

AU - Allan, Andrew

AU - Whitehead, Paul G.

AU - Wolf, Judith

AU - Rahman, Munsur

AU - Salehin, Mashfiqus

AU - Hanson, Susan E.

AU - Payo, Andres

PY - 2018/5

Y1 - 2018/5

N2 - Bangladesh is identified as an impact hotspot for sea-level rise in multiple studies. However, a range of other factors must be considered including catchment management, socio-economic development and governance quality, as well as delta plain biophysical processes. Taking an integrated assessment approach highlights that to 2050 future changes are more sensitive to human choice/policy intervention than climate change, ecosystem services diminish as a proportion of the economy with time, continuing historic trends and significant poverty persists for some households. Hence under favourable policy decisions, development could transform Bangladesh by 2050 making it less vulnerable to longer-term climate change and subsidence. Beyond 2050, the threats of climate change are much larger, requiring strategic adaptation responses and policy changes that must be initiated now.

AB - Bangladesh is identified as an impact hotspot for sea-level rise in multiple studies. However, a range of other factors must be considered including catchment management, socio-economic development and governance quality, as well as delta plain biophysical processes. Taking an integrated assessment approach highlights that to 2050 future changes are more sensitive to human choice/policy intervention than climate change, ecosystem services diminish as a proportion of the economy with time, continuing historic trends and significant poverty persists for some households. Hence under favourable policy decisions, development could transform Bangladesh by 2050 making it less vulnerable to longer-term climate change and subsidence. Beyond 2050, the threats of climate change are much larger, requiring strategic adaptation responses and policy changes that must be initiated now.

UR - https://www.palgrave.com/us/book/9783319710921#aboutBook

U2 - 10.1007/978-3-319-71093-8_3

DO - 10.1007/978-3-319-71093-8_3

M3 - Chapter (peer-reviewed)

SN - 9783319710921

SP - 49

EP - 69

BT - Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas

A2 - Nicholls, R.J.

A2 - Hutton, C. W.

A2 - Adger, W. N.

A2 - Hanson, S. E.

A2 - Rahman, M. M.

A2 - Salehin, M.

PB - Palgrave Macmillan

ER -

Nicholls RJ, Hutton CW, Lazar AN, Adger WN, Allan A, Whitehead PG et al. An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh. In Nicholls RJ, Hutton CW, Adger WN, Hanson SE, Rahman MM, Salehin M, editors, Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas: Integrated Assessment for Policy Analysis. Palgrave Macmillan. 2018. p. 49-69 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71093-8_3