An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh

Robert J. Nicholls, Craig W. Hutton, Atilla N. Lazar, W. Neil Adger, Andrew Allan, Paul G. Whitehead, Judith Wolf, Munsur Rahman, Mashfiqus Salehin, Susan E. Hanson, Andres Payo

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Abstract

Bangladesh is identified as an impact hotspot for sea-level rise in multiple studies. However, a range of other factors must be considered including catchment management, socio-economic development and governance quality, as well as delta plain biophysical processes. Taking an integrated assessment approach highlights that to 2050 future changes are more sensitive to human choice/policy intervention than climate change, ecosystem services diminish as a proportion of the economy with time, continuing historic trends and significant poverty persists for some households. Hence under favourable policy decisions, development could transform Bangladesh by 2050 making it less vulnerable to longer-term climate change and subsidence. Beyond 2050, the threats of climate change are much larger, requiring strategic adaptation responses and policy changes that must be initiated now.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationEcosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas
Subtitle of host publicationIntegrated Assessment for Policy Analysis
EditorsR.J. Nicholls, C. W. Hutton, W. N. Adger, S. E. Hanson, M. M. Rahman, M. Salehin
PublisherPalgrave Macmillan
Chapter3
Pages49-69
Number of pages21
ISBN (Electronic)9783319710938
ISBN (Print)9783319710921
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2018

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Nicholls, R. J., Hutton, C. W., Lazar, A. N., Adger, W. N., Allan, A., Whitehead, P. G., Wolf, J., Rahman, M., Salehin, M., Hanson, S. E., & Payo, A. (2018). An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh. In R. J. Nicholls, C. W. Hutton, W. N. Adger, S. E. Hanson, M. M. Rahman, & M. Salehin (Eds.), Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas: Integrated Assessment for Policy Analysis (pp. 49-69). Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71093-8_3