An Investigation of the Weak Form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis for the Kuwait Stock Exchange

Hesham I. Almujamed (Lead / Corresponding author), Suzanne G.M. Fifield, David M. Power

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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    Abstract

    This article investigates the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) for the Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE). In particular, it tests whether share returns on the KSE exhibit patterns which may be used to predict future share price changes. Ten filter rules are tested on weekly data for 42 firms over the period 1998–2011. The results suggest that the KSE was not weak-form efficient because patterns and trends were present in security prices. In addition, the results are consistent with the substantive literature which has argued that emerging stock markets are informationally inefficient, such as Fifield, Power and Sinclair (2005, 2008) and Xu (2010) and particularly those early studies of Al-Shamali (1989) and Al-Loughani and Moosa (1999) that looked at trading rules for the KSE.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)1-28
    Number of pages28
    JournalJournal of Emerging Market Finance
    Volume17
    Issue number1
    Early online date23 Feb 2018
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Apr 2018

    Fingerprint

    Efficient market hypothesis
    Kuwait
    Stock exchange
    Trading rules
    Price changes
    Share prices
    Emerging stock markets
    Security price
    Filter

    Keywords

    • Accounting information
    • capital market
    • disclosures
    • filter rules
    • Kuwaiti
    • market efficiency
    • trading rules

    Cite this

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    title = "An Investigation of the Weak Form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis for the Kuwait Stock Exchange",
    abstract = "This article investigates the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) for the Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE). In particular, it tests whether share returns on the KSE exhibit patterns which may be used to predict future share price changes. Ten filter rules are tested on weekly data for 42 firms over the period 1998–2011. The results suggest that the KSE was not weak-form efficient because patterns and trends were present in security prices. In addition, the results are consistent with the substantive literature which has argued that emerging stock markets are informationally inefficient, such as Fifield, Power and Sinclair (2005, 2008) and Xu (2010) and particularly those early studies of Al-Shamali (1989) and Al-Loughani and Moosa (1999) that looked at trading rules for the KSE.",
    keywords = "Accounting information, capital market, disclosures, filter rules, Kuwaiti, market efficiency, trading rules",
    author = "Almujamed, {Hesham I.} and Fifield, {Suzanne G.M.} and Power, {David M.}",
    note = "This study was funded by the Public Authority for Applied Education & Training—Kuwait/Research Grant No. BS-12-07.",
    year = "2018",
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    doi = "10.1177/0972652717748085",
    language = "English",
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    pages = "1--28",
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    An Investigation of the Weak Form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis for the Kuwait Stock Exchange. / Almujamed, Hesham I. (Lead / Corresponding author); Fifield, Suzanne G.M.; Power, David M.

    In: Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Vol. 17, No. 1, 04.2018, p. 1-28.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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    T1 - An Investigation of the Weak Form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis for the Kuwait Stock Exchange

    AU - Almujamed, Hesham I.

    AU - Fifield, Suzanne G.M.

    AU - Power, David M.

    N1 - This study was funded by the Public Authority for Applied Education & Training—Kuwait/Research Grant No. BS-12-07.

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    AB - This article investigates the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) for the Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE). In particular, it tests whether share returns on the KSE exhibit patterns which may be used to predict future share price changes. Ten filter rules are tested on weekly data for 42 firms over the period 1998–2011. The results suggest that the KSE was not weak-form efficient because patterns and trends were present in security prices. In addition, the results are consistent with the substantive literature which has argued that emerging stock markets are informationally inefficient, such as Fifield, Power and Sinclair (2005, 2008) and Xu (2010) and particularly those early studies of Al-Shamali (1989) and Al-Loughani and Moosa (1999) that looked at trading rules for the KSE.

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