Precursory signals of the major El Niño Southern Oscillation events

C. A. Varotsos; C. Tzanis; A. P. Cracknell

doi:10.1007/s00704-015-1464-4

Precursory signals of the major El Niño Southern Oscillation events

C. A. Varotsos (Lead / Corresponding author), C. Tzanis, A. P. Cracknell

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

25 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

An exploration of the temporal evolution of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from January 1876 to November 2011 by means of a new time domain called natural time reveals that the major ENSO extremes provide precursory signals that are maximized in a time window of almost 2 years. This finding may be used to improve the accuracy of the short-term prediction models of the ENSO extremes, thus enabling steps to be taken to ameliorate its disastrous impacts.

Original language	English
Number of pages	10
Journal	Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Early online date	25 Apr 2015
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1464-4
Publication status	Published - 2015

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Atmospheric Science

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10.1007/s00704-015-1464-4

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Precursory signals of the major El Niño Southern Oscillation events

Abstract

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