Abstract
An exploration of the temporal evolution of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from January 1876 to November 2011 by means of a new time domain called natural time reveals that the major ENSO extremes provide precursory signals that are maximized in a time window of almost 2 years. This finding may be used to improve the accuracy of the short-term prediction models of the ENSO extremes, thus enabling steps to be taken to ameliorate its disastrous impacts.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Number of pages | 10 |
| Journal | Theoretical and Applied Climatology |
| Early online date | 25 Apr 2015 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2015 |
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Atmospheric Science