Reassessment of flood risk for Scottish rivers using synthetic runoff data

Michael E. Steel, Andrew R. Black, Alan Werritty, Ian G. Littlewood

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

    8 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Increased hydroclimatic variability in recent years and the resultant flooding raise questions concerning flood risk estimation from short flow records in Scotland. Long peak flow series have been simulated using historical rainfall to reassess flood risk estimates for 11 selected rivers. Changes of >10% in the estimated value of the 100-year flood are reported for three rivers, as a result of the synthetic record extension achieved. Future changes in flood risk, as a result of possible changes in atmospheric circulation, are discussed briefly.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationHydrological extremes
    Subtitle of host publicationunderstanding, predicting, mitigating
    EditorsL. Gottschalk, J.-C. Olivry, D. Reed, D. Rosbjerg
    Place of PublicationWallingford, Oxon
    PublisherInternational Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS)
    Pages209-215
    Number of pages7
    ISBN (Print)1901502856314
    Publication statusPublished - 1999
    EventIUGG 99, the XXII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics - Birmingham, United Kingdom
    Duration: 18 Jul 199930 Jul 1999

    Publication series

    NameIAHS Series of Proceedings and Reports
    PublisherInternational Association of Hydrological Sciences
    Volume255

    Conference

    ConferenceIUGG 99, the XXII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
    CountryUnited Kingdom
    CityBirmingham
    Period18/07/9930/07/99

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    Cite this

    Steel, M. E., Black, A. R., Werritty, A., & Littlewood, I. G. (1999). Reassessment of flood risk for Scottish rivers using synthetic runoff data. In L. Gottschalk, J-C. Olivry, D. Reed, & D. Rosbjerg (Eds.), Hydrological extremes: understanding, predicting, mitigating (pp. 209-215). (IAHS Series of Proceedings and Reports; Vol. 255). International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS). http://iahs.info/