Small trends and big cycles in crude oil prices

Keyphrases

• Random Walk 100%
• Crude Oil Price 100%
• Long-term Trends 100%
• Large Amplitude 50%
• Growth Rate 50%
• International Benchmark 50%
• Life-cycle Model 50%
• Crude Oil 50%
• Cyclic Behavior 50%
• Quadratic Trend 50%
• Short Horizon 50%
• Trend-cycle 50%
• Unobserved Components Model 50%
• Competing Models 50%
• Out-of-sample Forecasting 50%
• Sample Estimation 50%

Economics, Econometrics and Finance

• Price 100%
• Long Waves 33%