The dynamics of political party support and egocentric economic evaluations: The Scottish case

Georgios Chrysanthou; Maria Dolores Guilló

doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.06.003

The dynamics of political party support and egocentric economic evaluations: The Scottish case

Georgios Chrysanthou (Lead / Corresponding author), Maria Dolores Guilló

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3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party (SNP) support using the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) during 1999–06. We study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations constitute an important determinant of SNP support over the entire period, being this effect stronger among the male electorate. The results are consistent with the electors holding the incumbent Labour Party accountable for their personal financial situation, though financial security augments the nationalist propensity among partisan voters. Furthermore, retrospective economic evaluations form a significant determinant of incumbent Labour Party support in both the 1999–02 and 2003–06 intervening electoral cycles.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	192
Number of pages	213
Journal	European Journal of Political Economy
Volume	52
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.06.003
Publication status	Published - Mar 2018

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title = "The dynamics of political party support and egocentric economic evaluations: The Scottish case",

abstract = "We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party (SNP) support using the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) during 1999–06. We study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations constitute an important determinant of SNP support over the entire period, being this effect stronger among the male electorate. The results are consistent with the electors holding the incumbent Labour Party accountable for their personal financial situation, though financial security augments the nationalist propensity among partisan voters. Furthermore, retrospective economic evaluations form a significant determinant of incumbent Labour Party support in both the 1999–02 and 2003–06 intervening electoral cycles. ",

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T1 - The dynamics of political party support and egocentric economic evaluations

T2 - The Scottish case

AU - Chrysanthou, Georgios

AU - Guilló, Maria Dolores

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N2 - We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party (SNP) support using the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) during 1999–06. We study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations constitute an important determinant of SNP support over the entire period, being this effect stronger among the male electorate. The results are consistent with the electors holding the incumbent Labour Party accountable for their personal financial situation, though financial security augments the nationalist propensity among partisan voters. Furthermore, retrospective economic evaluations form a significant determinant of incumbent Labour Party support in both the 1999–02 and 2003–06 intervening electoral cycles.

AB - We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party (SNP) support using the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) during 1999–06. We study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations constitute an important determinant of SNP support over the entire period, being this effect stronger among the male electorate. The results are consistent with the electors holding the incumbent Labour Party accountable for their personal financial situation, though financial security augments the nationalist propensity among partisan voters. Furthermore, retrospective economic evaluations form a significant determinant of incumbent Labour Party support in both the 1999–02 and 2003–06 intervening electoral cycles.

UR - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0176268016302774

U2 - 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.06.003

DO - 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.06.003

M3 - Article

SN - 0176-2680

VL - 52

SP - 192

JO - European Journal of Political Economy

JF - European Journal of Political Economy

ER -

The dynamics of political party support and egocentric economic evaluations: The Scottish case

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