Volatility in Electoral Support for United Russia

Cross-Regional Variations in Putin’s Electoral Authoritarian Regime

Petr Panov, Cameron Ross (Lead / Corresponding author)

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Grounded in the main theoretical approaches to the study of electoral volatility, this article examines cross-regional variations in the levels of volatility for United Russia (UR) in Duma elections over the period 2003–2016, which are juxtaposed with the level of volatility for the Kremlin’s candidates in presidential elections. The main finding is that ‘regime type’ or, more precisely, ‘authoritarianism’ is the key explanatory variable. Stronger authoritarian rulers are able to control regional elites and ensure the best results for UR by exerting administrative pressure on voters. This reduces the level of volatility in support for UR. At the same time, economic and institutional explanations have a partial significance. Here, Duma elections differ from presidential elections, which demonstrate a much lower degree of volatility; in addition, economic factors appear insignificant.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)268-289
Number of pages22
JournalEurope-Asia Studies
Volume71
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Mar 2019

Fingerprint

regional difference
election
Russia
regime
presidential election
authoritarianism
economic factors
elite
candidacy
economics
volatility
Authoritarian Regimes
Regional Variation
Regional variation
Presidential Elections
Economics
Elections
Presidential elections

Keywords

  • elections
  • United Russia
  • cross-regional variations
  • volatility

Cite this

@article{4d0a66d5471e4c29bc5228c70777c908,
title = "Volatility in Electoral Support for United Russia: Cross-Regional Variations in Putin’s Electoral Authoritarian Regime",
abstract = "Grounded in the main theoretical approaches to the study of electoral volatility, this article examines cross-regional variations in the levels of volatility for United Russia (UR) in Duma elections over the period 2003–2016, which are juxtaposed with the level of volatility for the Kremlin’s candidates in presidential elections. The main finding is that ‘regime type’ or, more precisely, ‘authoritarianism’ is the key explanatory variable. Stronger authoritarian rulers are able to control regional elites and ensure the best results for UR by exerting administrative pressure on voters. This reduces the level of volatility in support for UR. At the same time, economic and institutional explanations have a partial significance. Here, Duma elections differ from presidential elections, which demonstrate a much lower degree of volatility; in addition, economic factors appear insignificant.",
keywords = "elections, United Russia, cross-regional variations, volatility",
author = "Petr Panov and Cameron Ross",
year = "2019",
month = "3",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1080/09668136.2018.1563050",
language = "English",
volume = "71",
pages = "268--289",
journal = "Europe-Asia Studies",
issn = "0966-8136",
publisher = "Routledge",
number = "2",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Volatility in Electoral Support for United Russia

T2 - Cross-Regional Variations in Putin’s Electoral Authoritarian Regime

AU - Panov, Petr

AU - Ross, Cameron

PY - 2019/3/1

Y1 - 2019/3/1

N2 - Grounded in the main theoretical approaches to the study of electoral volatility, this article examines cross-regional variations in the levels of volatility for United Russia (UR) in Duma elections over the period 2003–2016, which are juxtaposed with the level of volatility for the Kremlin’s candidates in presidential elections. The main finding is that ‘regime type’ or, more precisely, ‘authoritarianism’ is the key explanatory variable. Stronger authoritarian rulers are able to control regional elites and ensure the best results for UR by exerting administrative pressure on voters. This reduces the level of volatility in support for UR. At the same time, economic and institutional explanations have a partial significance. Here, Duma elections differ from presidential elections, which demonstrate a much lower degree of volatility; in addition, economic factors appear insignificant.

AB - Grounded in the main theoretical approaches to the study of electoral volatility, this article examines cross-regional variations in the levels of volatility for United Russia (UR) in Duma elections over the period 2003–2016, which are juxtaposed with the level of volatility for the Kremlin’s candidates in presidential elections. The main finding is that ‘regime type’ or, more precisely, ‘authoritarianism’ is the key explanatory variable. Stronger authoritarian rulers are able to control regional elites and ensure the best results for UR by exerting administrative pressure on voters. This reduces the level of volatility in support for UR. At the same time, economic and institutional explanations have a partial significance. Here, Duma elections differ from presidential elections, which demonstrate a much lower degree of volatility; in addition, economic factors appear insignificant.

KW - elections

KW - United Russia

KW - cross-regional variations

KW - volatility

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85062473331&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1080/09668136.2018.1563050

DO - 10.1080/09668136.2018.1563050

M3 - Article

VL - 71

SP - 268

EP - 289

JO - Europe-Asia Studies

JF - Europe-Asia Studies

SN - 0966-8136

IS - 2

ER -